By the Numbers: What the Primary Results Tell Us About May 26

I wrote on March 4 about what election night meant to me personally and what comes next for this campaign. Today I want to do something a little different: walk through the actual numbers from the primary and share what they tell us about the road to May 26.

A quick note for anyone who missed it: under Texas law, a candidate must receive more than 50% of the vote to win the primary outright. With three candidates in the race, no one cleared that threshold. The top two finishers advance to a runoff. That's how I'm on the ballot again on May 26, 2026, alongside Jeanette Parham.

How the Primary Broke Down

6,100 voters cast Republican primary ballots on March 3 — 13.52% of Waller County's 45,118 registered voters. Of those, 5,189 weighed in on the County Court-at-Law No. 1 race across all 19 precincts.

I received 1,903 votes — 36.67% of all ballots cast in that contest. Our margin over the second-place finisher was 246 votes. The gap between second and third place was only 28 votes, which tells you how tight this field was. I'm proud of that result, and grateful for every voter who made it happen.

Results Across the County

I carried 10 of the 19 precincts countywide. Results were competitive in nearly every precinct, reflecting a genuinely contested race across Waller County.

Where the Votes Came From

The primary was decided in two places: early voting (3,750 ballots cast) and election day (2,203 ballots). We led in both. Absentee voting was the smallest pool, with 147 ballots total.

What these numbers show is that Waller County voters who cast their ballots during early voting and on election day chose our campaign at the highest rate. The chart also gives a clear picture of how this county votes: the overwhelming majority of primary ballots came in during the two-week early voting window, with election day a strong second. That's useful context for anyone thinking about when and how to vote on May 26.

The Runoff Universe: 41,095 Eligible Voters

Here is a number I think every voter should know: 41,095 voters in Waller County are eligible to cast a ballot on May 26. Waller County has 45,118 registered voters. Of those, 4,023 voted in the Democratic primary on March 3, which makes them ineligible for the GOP runoff under Texas law. Everyone else, the 41,095 who either voted in the Republican primary or did not vote in any primary, can vote on May 26. That pool breaks into two groups.

6,100 voters already participated in the March 3 Republican primary. They weighed the candidates, made a choice, and showed up. I'm asking them to come back on May 26 and do it again.

34,995 voters did not participate in either party's primary but remain fully eligible for the runoff. Because they stayed out of both the Republican and Democratic primaries, Texas election law allows them to vote on May 26. Some are newer voters, some are independents, and some simply didn't make it out in March. That is nearly 35,000 neighbors across Waller County who can still make their voice heard in this race. Runoff turnout historically drops from the primary, so every one of those voters matters enormously.

The runoff universe also includes voters who came out in March and voted in other contests but skipped the County Court-at-Law race entirely. These are proven voters who simply haven't weighed in on this seat yet.

What Voter Turnout History Tells Us

Looking at 11,505 voters identified through public voter file records, here is how their prior GOP primary participation breaks down. These are Waller County voters in the voter file who are part of the 41,095 eligible for the runoff. Some have shown up in every Republican primary going back years. Others are newer to the process.

The largest single group, 4,612 voters, has participated in exactly one prior GOP primary. Another 1,575 voters have never voted in a Republican primary before this one. And 1,463 voters have voted in all four cycles from 2018 through 2024. Runoffs are won when voters across all of those groups turn out. That means this race comes down to making sure as many people as possible know it's happening and feel motivated to show up.

What Happens Next

Between now and May 26, I'll be knocking on doors, attending community events, and making sure every corner of Waller County, from Hempstead to Waller to Katy, knows this race isn't over. It's just getting started.

This court handles the cases that touch families most directly: custody disputes, probate proceedings, misdemeanor charges, guardianship hearings. These aren't abstractions. They're the moments when people need a judge who knows the law, knows the courtroom, and shows up prepared. That's what I've spent my career building, and it's exactly what I intend to bring to the bench.

How to Help

• Volunteer: Canvassing and phone banking begin this month. Sign up here.
• Spread the word: Share this post and tell your neighbors that the runoff is May 26.
• Donate: Runoff campaigns require fresh resources. Support the campaign today.

Thank you to everyone who voted on March 3. I don't take that support for granted, and I'm going to work hard to earn your vote again on May 26.